Bounce! ([info]partly_bouncy) wrote in [info]fanthropology,

A look at some fandom based money numbers

Disclaimer: I am not a marketing person. I'm not claiming to be an expert. I welcome expert input.

If you haven't figured it out, I like numbers and fandom. For me, numbers help give meaning to observations I see casually. The two together, fandom and numbers, is fascinating. One topic I've been discussing in private meta is how much money there is in fandom, who is making money off fandom, etc. I know and they know that people inside and outside of fandom are making money off fan creation, whether we realize it or not. 6Apart, CBS, FanFiction.Net, Quizilla, MySpace, YouTube, Yahoo!Groups, EBay are just a few. There are various fansites that have adverts, including fan history wiki which had made about $40 in the past year using text based Google ads. Many of these sites, especially the commercial ones, are integral to our fannish experience, even if they were never designed to be that to begin with. Where would fandom be with out them?

The money issue is one that's been discussed a bit recently in fandom. I know I've been privately discussing it with a number of people on my FList, on AIM and via e-mail. The issue of money as it pertains to FanFiction.Net has bugged me even more. It's been the focus of some speculation in light of other situations in fandom. 6Apart, YouTube, Quizilla, MySpace may profit off fandom activity but fan activity alone does not define these sites. For FanFiction.Net, a specific type of fan activity does. If you're going to talk about money in fandom and have a meaningful discussion, you really can't ignore it. FanFiction.Net is the giant elephant in the corner.

If you're a regular reader of Plagiarism Today, the money issue has been brought up. It's mostly been discussed in the context of scrapers, with Plagiarism Today saying how scrapers can make up to $80,000 a week, based on stealing and appropiating other people's content and putting it on domains, journals and blogs. If a scraper can do this, on minimal content, what could FanFiction.Net do money wise and based on their huge traffic volume? In a recent community locked post, some people speculated on this exact issue. The people involved in the discussion didn't have hard numbers, or information from marketers and advertisers. I'd looked at this sort of before, got a general idea for the numbers based on just the scraping thing, a discussion with someone in marketing and my own experience in fandom... and I'd arrived at a number similar to that of scrapers. FanFiction.Net just couldn't, based on that knowledge, make less than that. Not good enough. Numbers. Numbers. Need real numbers that I can cite. And learning what those numbers are based on, what they mean.

Ad revenue of the sort FanFiction.Net has is based on page views. How many page views?




Alexa image source.

That chart compares FanFiction.Net, Quizilla, MTV.com, iVillage and FictionAlley.Org. FictionAlley.Org was included because it is frequently held up as one of the largest archives in fandom. Quizilla is one that I know is probably, meh, the second or third or fourth largest fan fiction repository on the Internet. MTV.Com and iVillage were included just to give an idea of FanFiction.Net's size compared to main stream sites.

To put this into more perspective, FictionAlley is registered as a non-profit. I don't believe they earn enough to pay taxes. Neither does HPEF, Inc. because they do not make over $25,000. (source) iVillage mainstream site, it was in the news a while back. It sold for $558 million. (source) Quizilla, that second to fourth largest repository of fan fiction was rumored to have been sold to Viacom for $10 to $20 million. (source)

FanFiction.Net tops them all. Yesterday, FanFiction.Net was the 193rd most popular site on the Internet. Think about the sheer size of that. It boggles my mind. In the Philippines? FanFiction.Net is the 44th most popular website on the Internet. In the United States? It's the 126th. I boggle. It gets more traffic than Quizilla. It has to be worth more than ivillage and Quizilla. Back to numbers... because yeah, that's what I am focusing on.

Anyway, so FanFiction.Net is large. It's popular. It gets huge amounts of volume. This translates into dollars. FanFiction.Net sells ads. They get money based on page views, based on advertisement sizes, etc. Adbrite is a site that gives advertising information, traffic information, user demographics, where to buy ads, etc. It tells you the type of ads FanFiction.Net is selling.

And before we get back to the money, another number detour. Adbrite has some interesting information about demographics of its user base that kind of contradicts some ideas about fandom, specifically gender representation in fandom. It also has an idea about race, supported by my own casual fandom observations. This information applies only to the US audience. (Xing added an asian based server which means his advertisements handled out of Asia are bought for there.) ". According to comScore Media Metrix the site's user base is 61% female (75% according to internal surveys), 58% are 18+, 65% have household incomes exceeding $60,000 and 90% are Caucasian." (source)

First, to define some terms and ideas. FanFiction.Net uses Active interstitials ads. These are pay per view, pay per impression ads. This differs from GoogleAd sense type ads which are generally text based and are pay per click. (source)

Back to the money. The Adbrite data also says FanFiction.Net makes $0.01 to $0.04 per as impressions for the ad linked to. According to the AdBrite info, FanFiction.Net gets 330,000 visitors a day. (source)
According to AdBrite, the site gets 9,700,000 impressions/page views a day. (source)
This would be supported by Compete which shows the average user viewing between 26 and 32 pages a day. (source) If you assume the the ad in question nets FanFiction.Net an average of $.02 per ad impression on the site, and that the site gets 9,700,000 impressions a day, FanFiction.Net may receive as much as $194,000 per day. ($0.02 x 9,700,000 = $194,000) Boggle that one. One ad on FanFiction.Net makes $194,000.



And FanFiction.Net isn't just using one advertising source, nor randomly advertising anywhere. FanFiction.Net allows advertisers to buy ad space on certain parts of there site, like the Anime, Harry Potter, television, books, Naruto sections. (source) They also an advertiser to buy different size ads. (source). FanFiction.Net doesn't just use one advertiser. If you poke around the site, look the different advertisements they have, you can tell they use different advertisement places like AdonNetwork, GoogleAds, Advertising.com and FastClick. In the past, FanFiction.Net used Gator. (Which I remember and hate because Gator tried to install software on my computer, manipulating holes in IE's security to do so. It might have been tied to the distributing the ads, bootlegging of ads, not FanFiction.Net's adsell itself. But that's neither here nor there.) I would guess that FanFiction.Net uses the different ad places to maximize their revenue.

Let's do the math based on the Adbrite information. $194,000 based on one ad alone for United States based audiences only, multiple that by 365 for the number of days in the year... Based on that information, FanFiction.Net could possibly make as much as $70,810,000 a year in revenue, FanFiction.Net's income before expenses. That's... a fascinating number.

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  • 77 comments

[info]anarchicq

June 26 2007, 03:59:08 UTC 4 years ago

If it's ok, I linked this post in [info]life_wo_fanlibhere.

[info]partly_bouncy

June 26 2007, 04:35:54 UTC 4 years ago

I saw that. I didn't know the ethics of linking/mentioning the locked community post there that was one of the reasons I was inspired to get the data... :/ So I didn't. But I don't mind.

[info]anarchicq

4 years ago

[info]anarchicq

4 years ago

[info]anarchicq

4 years ago

[info]_dahne_

June 26 2007, 04:12:52 UTC 4 years ago

I'm curious; how is CBS making money off fan creation?

[info]partly_bouncy

June 26 2007, 04:36:43 UTC 4 years ago

Er. Creation conventions? Or that site that shall not be named that isn't the Pit of Voles?

[info]jedinic

June 26 2007, 04:16:11 UTC 4 years ago

I'm stunned to think that this could be happening without the general fandom community noticing. Unless this is only a relatively recent development in terms of the advertising on the site?

Alternatively, the people who are supporters of the 'fan fiction should NEVER profit' POV are also the types who stay well away from fanfic.net (due to quality issues) and the visitors to ff.net are younger, used to seeing ads everywhere over the internet and don't think anything of it?

I'd love it if the site owner(s) could respond to this.

[info]partly_bouncy

June 26 2007, 04:43:35 UTC 4 years ago

I'm stunned to think that this could be happening without the general fandom community noticing. Unless this is only a relatively recent development in terms of the advertising on the site?

Actually, since that other site opened, they've cut down on the number of ads on FanFiction.Net and FanFiction.Net has been adding more features. They've used ads for years.

Alternatively, the people who are supporters of the 'fan fiction should NEVER profit' POV are also the types who stay well away from fanfic.net (due to quality issues) and the visitors to ff.net are younger, used to seeing ads everywhere over the internet and don't think anything of it?

First, I don't know that the numbers I'm using from AdBrite are right. AdBrite says you can BUY ads on FanFiction.Net of the Active interstitials type for $0.10 to $0.40 a page view. The number may be lower. Added to that, FanFiction.Net obviously has operating costs. This data doesn't include the Asian based ads and that say ads on the Harry Potter specific type pay higher. It's a mess. So this is really speculation... but speculation that shows FanFiction.Net nets at least a couple MILLIONin revenue. It is why I'd really like some one who knows this from a professional context to explain it better.

I'm used to ads to a certain degree. It might not be an age thing. It might just be a where you hang out on-line thing. :/

I'd love it if the site owner(s) could respond to this.

Xing hasn't been heard from in years according to the former staff members I've kept in contact with. The speculation I had was that users were just so nuts. I heard speculation from others that it was probably because he was hiding from intellectual property owners. If he were to respond to this at all, I would think it would be through observing how he handles ad.

[info]jedinic

4 years ago

[info]jiltanith

June 26 2007, 06:17:34 UTC 4 years ago

6A doesn't own WordPress. WordPress is an open source fork of B2 and distributed under the GPL; it may have primary developers but nobody "owns" it as such. 6A's primary product is Movable Type.

[info]partly_bouncy

June 26 2007, 11:34:51 UTC 4 years ago

My bad. Will edit that out. Should say Movable Type. :(

[info]mishalak

June 26 2007, 08:19:49 UTC 4 years ago

I appear to be mis reading something somewhere. The Adbrite site on fanfiction.net says, "Pay only when someone visits your site. Tell us what your max bid per visitor is, and we'll charge you only the min that is necessary. You will not write or upload an ad. Instead, visitors will automatically be taken to your site. Starting Bid: $0.010 highest bid $0.040 CPV"

Does not CPV mean cost per visitor? From my understanding of advertising that means a particular ad will only pay out to the site if someone actually clicks on the ad and visits the advertiser's site. So be served up to a (hopefully) relevant viewer of the site and only once per vist.
cite: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Online_advertising#Payment_conventions

So this means that given the click through rates being what they are FanFiction.Net are making something less than 1% of your figure. Or less than $1,940 a day per ad. Minus costs, of course. Which would make a lot more sense.

[info]partly_bouncy

June 26 2007, 11:41:11 UTC 4 years ago

The FanFiction.Net part says "* FanFiction.net - Active Interstitial Only." That's not pay per click. (And that confused me too.) According to AdBrite,

Active interstitials - Your site, full-screen, directly in front of your target audience. Cost per thousand impressions (CPM)(source)


Active Interstitials – A high-paying full-screen ad on the third pageview of your site, shown only once per user per (source)


It's not pay per click. It is pay per view because of the ad type.

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]ljcygnet

4 years ago

[info]ljmouse

4 years ago

[info]zellieh

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

June 26 2007, 18:47:29 UTC 4 years ago

Here is another number. The Wall Street Journal reported in 2005 that online ads and research done by Pricewatershouse Coopers saying that the biggest 50 Web companies, including Yahoo and AOL, are attracting 96% of the ad spending.

Currently online ad revenue in total is somewhere between 15-18 billion dollars. Now I'm going to make some assumptions. First that the top 50 sites are still bringing in 90-96% of all online ad revenue. That means that all other online websites are splitting 600 million on the low end and 1.8 billion on the high end. If fanfiction.net is bringing in 70 million a year in ad revenue that means they're bringing in 3.8-11.6% of the money not being taken by the really big boys. Are they *that* big?

Also going to the big boy sites like yahoo.com, AOL, CNN, and so on I find companies advertising that make a *lot* of money. Geico, Experian, etc, and unknown companies selling things like real estate, vacations, mortgages, degrees, etc. It is clear that these industries have the money to pay for a lot of ads. Plus I only scraped the surface a bit. Google has a bewildering galaxy of advertisers and takes in something like 30% of all online ad revenue by itself.

On the other hand we have the ads on fanfiction.net. Can ads from relatively small companies and groups come close to the kind of revenue these people can cough up? Sword makers, ringtone sellers, and online quiz companies? Do they collectively have enough of an advertising budget to pay out $70 million a year?

This is why I think your numbers cannot be right.

[info]partly_bouncy

June 26 2007, 18:59:31 UTC 4 years ago

Do they collectively have enough of an advertising budget to pay out $70 million a year?

Quite possibly. I don't know. I'm basing my numbers based on what one of the companies selling ads on FanFiction.Net is saying. And I think they have to be worth at LEAST $50 million. Why? They get TWICE the traffic of Quizilla and Viacom paid between $10 and $20 MILLION for Quizilla. And according to this article here, "US marketers will nearly double their spending on such advertising to $1 billion next year from US$575 million in 2007, according to research firm eMarketer. By 2011, behavioral targeting will surge to nearly US$3.8 billion of online ads."

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]truwest

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]truwest

4 years ago

[info]mishalak

4 years ago

[info]truwest

4 years ago

[info]truwest

June 26 2007, 20:05:04 UTC 4 years ago

FWIW...I don't have any knowledge specifically about FF.net, so can't comment on that. I do have some knowledge of web properties that make their revenues from adverts/visitors. There are a few gigantor properties like YouTube that make $$$ (but even YouTube makes less rev than you'd think, given their purchase price...but then GoogleMoney is Different).

Then there's a tier of respectably big, brand-name properties that bring in ~$100 +/- mil/adrev/yr. And at the lower end of the curve, there are lots of smaller sites that bring in a few million/adrev/year.

So it seems highly unlikely that FF.net would make in the neighborhood of $70 million rev/yr -- that's a big property. It seems more likely to be >$10 mil ($10mm is still a nice little business, of course).

Comparing valuations across different sites is tricky, especially when you get into less-mainstream, less-"respectable" topics (unsponsored fandom sites, erotica sites, etc), which tend to have fewer interested buyers and thus lower valuations. (Quizilla is most commonly known as a quiz site, not a fanfic site, so using them as a valuation comparison to FF.net is a useful data point but might not hold up for an actual deal estimate IMO.)

One thing: brand name awareness/mindshare and/or popularity doesn't always equal large revenues. Some fairly well-known consumer brands (including some web properties) are actually quite small companies, revenue and employee-wise. You may have the name or the visitors, but you can't always monetize that as much as you'd like.

Per your research: it might be interesting for comparison's sake to look at data on the market/rev size of online properties for hobbies/interests other than fandom. For example, market size and/or revenues of online properties related to hunting, or crafts, or car customizing, or something like that. Just an idea.

(for example: www.etsy.com, which doesn't do ads but gets revenues from product listings and % of sales -- like ebay does -- is bringing in ~$6+ mil/rev/yr and is getting close to break-even -- which implies <30 employees -- and that's with ~250,000 registered users and ~50,000 sellers -- a big community.)

[info]partly_bouncy

June 26 2007, 20:26:52 UTC 4 years ago

Quizilla is most commonly known as a quiz site, not a fanfic site, so using them as a valuation comparison to FF.net is a useful data point but might not hold up for an actual deal estimate IMO.

Can I ask what you base that on? I have an account and poke around there and I wouldn't consider it a quiz site at all. At the moment, it has 44,297 Harry Potter stories on it. That makes it probably in the top 5 or 10 Harry Potter fan fiction sites based on volume of stories. Last time I checked, 13,700 or so stories on AdultFanFiction.Net. The last number I heard coming out of FictionAlley was 70,000. FanFiction.Net has roughly 300,000 stories. HarryPotterFanFiction.Com has roughly 37,500. MuggleNet might be close.

1,054 stories were added to Quizilla in the last 24 hours. They have 205,709 stories total. Their growth in that area is huge.

So I'd dispute that.

Etsy has half the membership, have the views of FanFiction.Net. (source) And unless they are doing ads, how can you compare? (Salon.Com is kind of comparable but I can't figu

The problem I have, in determining ad revenue, I look at the ads, I look at the cost... and I see how much FanFiction.Net is getting from them. Are those numbers wrong?

And Xing is listed as having attended at least on major PHP type convention. He might be selling his code, in addition to ad revenue. I don't know. And I need those numbers explained from AdBrite. :/

But whatever the case is, I would highly suspect that FanFiction.Net is profitting off fan fiction, whether the numbers are on the low end of $10 million or on the high end of $70 million.

[info]truwest

4 years ago

[info]lizardbeth_j

June 26 2007, 20:05:33 UTC 4 years ago

(from [info]metafandom)

As a data point on ad-revenue for ff.net -- remember that they have adblocker. Whether the ads are page view or click through, whenever a user activates adblocker that's three days of ad revenue that ff.net isn't receiving (at least after the original visit).

I have no idea how many people use it (and I'd bet there are many who don't know it exists), but potentially every single visitor can. It's not even restricted to logged-in members. In any case, the adblocker service has to cut down on their revenue in a real, measureable way.

Fascinating stats on the traffic!

[info]lizardbeth_j

June 26 2007, 20:16:26 UTC 4 years ago

oops

2 days, not three. But you can "reset the clock" without seeing an ad.

[info]tikatu

4 years ago

[info]ljcygnet

June 26 2007, 20:14:19 UTC 4 years ago

I've been saying for awhile that ffnet is raking in the money and they're not even all that well optimized for advertising profit. I'm glad to see other people noticing. For the record, I don't have a problem with them being a for-profit archive because we *do* get something back as fans -- a centralized place to put our stories that is probably not going to go away any time soon and doesn't cost anything to use. However, were I an intellectual rights holder I'd be demanding a piece of that advertising pie -- though there's a PR minefield there in some cases.

Google Adwords has them down for over 500K visits/day. Adword's numbers don't go higher than 500K visits/day, and I suspect the traffic is a good bit in excess of that. *Alexa's* ratings are notoriously inaccurate -- for my own site, Alexa's ratings keep going down even though my traffic has steadily increased over the last year, so I don't place much stock in anything on Alexa.

(There's also a Harry Potter archive that exceeds 500K/day per adwords, FYI.)

Note that the $ amounts you're coming up with for advertising are what you *pay* for the ads as an advertiser. They're not what ffnet collects.

(Also, just as an observation from having worked with Google Adsense for a couple of years now: FFnet violates Google's TOS six ways to Sunday on a couple of counts. There's explicit material on the site -- a big no-no -- and, uh, copyright violations. The "explicit material" issue in relations to advertising is probably why FFnet did away with NC-17 fanfic years ago but we all know that there's plenty of rated material still on the site. Google is either looking the other way because Google definitely selectively enforces their TOS or, alternately, FFnet is big enough to have negotiated their own terms with Google. The other advertisers likely have similar TOSes.)

One more thing that I'll throw into the discussion, however, is their overhead. Likely they have their own server farm(s) and are getting bulk rates on stuff but that sort of traffic is still very, very expensive. We're probably talking hundreds of servers and all the infrastructure to support it. Plus at least a few IT employees to run the show.

Deleted comment

[info]icarusancalion

June 26 2007, 20:18:29 UTC 4 years ago

I've just noticed some typos. Let me repost this comment.

[info]icarusancalion

June 26 2007, 20:19:58 UTC 4 years ago

First off, thank you for the hard numbers. I cruised around ff.net with wide eyes at all the ads wondering "When did this happen?"

Fanfiction.net does offer a lot of traffic, but for the individual author it doesn't amount to much when compared to "niche" fandom archives.

My most popular story, Primer to the Dark Arts:

27,000 hits on fanfiction.net
65,000 hits on Fiction Alley

I pick this story to highlight the dramatic difference.

Compare a less popular story, The Albatross:

563 hits on fanfiction.net
864 hits on Fiction Alley

This ratio may not hold true for all other niche archives. However, comparing the niche archive for the Stargate Atlantis fandom and my story Traces Through Time:

691 hits on fanfiction.net
1339 hits on Wraithbait

The number of reviews seems to be comparable between fanfiction.net, Fiction Alley, and Wraithbait.

The only benefits I can see to the fanfic writer:

- it's a good place for the new writer to get some exposure while they're learning, without too much exposure to ruin their fandom name with early badfic.
- it's multifandom, so all of your fandoms can be in one place, though I have my own site for that now, not to mention LJ. Also, ff.net does not allow NC-17 stories which reduces the usefulness of the site. When is [info]otw_news starting?
- it hosts obscure fandoms which don't have niche archives or communities, thus giving them some traffic.
- it's the current doorway to fanfiction, with (judging by diction in reviews I've received, which is dicey at best) a younger audience. And I would say that I receive more reviews from male readers on ff.net than I do in other communities, not that it's a plus for me, since it has meant more flames against slash.

It would be a wrench to pull my stories from ff.net since I've been there since 2001, back when Xing was supporting it out of pocket. I have reviews and hit counts invested there so I'm not making any rash decisions. But it's clear to me that my fanfiction is being used to make a profit with none of it going to the IP holder or to the fanfiction writers themselves.

Icarus

[info]partly_bouncy

June 27 2007, 00:40:50 UTC 4 years ago

Is [info]otw_news still around? I got the feeling the momentum for it died. There haven't been any new posts to the community in what? Two weeks? And in that period, one reference on my FList.

[info]yourlibrarian

June 26 2007, 21:44:54 UTC 4 years ago

Those are some interesting figures, especially when you look at both number of visitors and growth rate over the past year. Given that TWOP was just sold to Bravo (though we don't know for how much) and yet its visitor count is lower and its growth rate is declining, you'd think FF.net would get more attention.

Yesterday, FanFiction.Net was the 193rd most popular site on the Internet.

I just wanted to ask, where did these rankings come from?

[info]zellieh

June 26 2007, 23:47:04 UTC 4 years ago

This is an interesting post, but something about it bothered me, and I think it's a problem with your math - I think you're using the wrong figure to work out how much ad revenue FF.Net earns. You're using pageviews-per-day, when you should be using users-per-day. On Adbrite's site, it says "ads are shown only once per user, per day" (source: http://www.adbrite.com/mb/howitworks.php)

So that means your sums should be (using the numbers from your post):
$0.02 per view x 330,000 users per day = $6,600 per ad, per day.
$6,600 per ad, per day x 365 days = $2,409,000 per ad, per year.

Actually, the figures could be lower than that because most heavy internet users use adblockers these days, so a large proportion of FF.Net's regular visitors won't see these ads at all, and so FF.Net could get less than $6,600 per ad, per day. But I don't have figures for how many people use adblockers; I just know that I've never personally seen an ad on FF.Net. I love my adblocker! *g*

[info]scarah2

June 27 2007, 00:52:48 UTC 4 years ago

If you assume the the ad in question nets FanFiction.Net an average of $.02 per ad impression on the site, and that the site gets 9,700,000 impressions a day, FanFiction.Net may receive as much as $194,000 per day. ($0.02 x 9,700,000 = $194,000) Boggle that one. One ad on FanFiction.Net makes $194,000.

Isn't it CPM? Then it's $194 per day. CPM = cost per thousand impressions.

[info]zellieh

June 27 2007, 01:06:32 UTC 4 years ago

I wondered about that, too. The Adbrite site says here (source: http://www.adbrite.com/mb/howitworks.php - in the 'How it Works - for Advertisers' section) that Interstitial ads are CPM, but on Adbrite's Fanfic.net page itself (source: http://www.adbrite.com/mb/commerce/purchase_form.php?other_product_id=172940&fg_state=fq%3D6hlxq%252C2s0%257Cjk7qtc%257Cjk7qtq%252C6hh0y%252C1uo0%257Cjk6gpa%257Cjk7qkx%257Cjk7qt7%26page%3D1%26previous_selected_product%3Done_week%26check_item%3D%26product_select%3Done_week&vertical_id=0), it seems to say "buy an Interstital ad - CPV". I went with CPV, since that's on the page where you can actually buy the ad-space on FF.Net. *shrugs*

[info]scarah2

4 years ago

[info]zellieh

4 years ago

[info]scarah2

4 years ago

[info]ness_va

June 27 2007, 02:31:47 UTC 4 years ago

Wow. I had no idea ff.net was so popular.
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